— Researcher and Professor · RAND
Pedro Nascimento de Lima
Engineer at RAND. I build models and tools that turn data into life-saving decisions.
Reach me at plima at rand dot org.
New Research
2026 Diagnostic Delays Associated With a Screening Trial of a Multicancer Early Detection Test—Reply ↗ 2026 Estimating Sensitivity from Tandem Colonoscopy Meta-analyses ↗ 2026 Cancer Diagnostic Delay Rates Associated With a Population-Based Screening Trial Evaluating a Cell-Free DNA Multicancer Early Detection Test ↗ 
My Research
View all research →Featured Stream
Cancer Early Detection & Prevention
Microsimulation and cost-effectiveness analysis to improve cancer screening, reduce disparities, and inform clinical guidelines.
2026
Featured Stream
Pandemic Preparedness & Response
Decision support tools and surveillance systems for policymakers responding to infectious disease threats.
2026
2026
Modeling the Disruptive Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Nurses' Supply and Wages
Frontiers in Epidemiology
Other Research Streams
Research
Equity & Society
How social determinants and structural factors shape health outcomes, and which policies promote equity.
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Methods
Modeling & Simulation
Microsimulation, agent-based, and epidemic models for understanding complex systems and evaluating policy interventions.
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Methods
Robust Decision Making
Frameworks for making decisions under deep uncertainty — finding strategies robust across many plausible futures.
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Methods
Causal Inference
Evaluating methods for estimating policy effects from observational data.
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Methods
Tools & Packages
Open-source R packages and software supporting reproducible research and applied methods.
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What I've been writing about
Topics with the most publications in the past two years.